The model estimates 0.86 goals for Arbroath and 1.15 for Ayr. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arbroath and 6 for Ayr, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ayr · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arbroath is going head to head with Ayr on November 07, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 14.
Arbroath take on Ayr in the Scottish Championship on 7 November 2026 at 18:00.
Arbroath are currently placed 8th in the table with 11 points, while Ayr occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Arbroath come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ayr have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ayr have 1 win against Arbroath.
Prediction: Arbroath and Ayr to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 2.02. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 41%.




Arbroath have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Ayr have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ayr's last 6 matches.