The model estimates 1.50 goals for Dunfermline and 0.47 for Arbroath. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dunfermline and 6 for Arbroath, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dunfermline · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dunfermline is going head to head with Arbroath on November 14, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 15.
Dunfermline take on Arbroath in the Scottish Championship on 14 November 2026 at 18:00.
Dunfermline are currently placed 4th in the table with 21 points, while Arbroath occupy 8th position with 11 points.
Dunfermline come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arbroath have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Dunfermline have yet to beat Arbroath, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Dunfermline to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.97. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 30%.




Dunfermline are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dunfermline have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Dunfermline's last 6 matches.
Arbroath have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.