The model estimates 0.98 goals for Ayr and 1.11 for Raith. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ayr and 6 for Raith, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Raith · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ayr is going head to head with Raith on November 14, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 15.
Ayr take on Raith in the Scottish Championship on 14 November 2026 at 18:00.
Ayr are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Raith occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Ayr come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Raith have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Raith have 1 win against Ayr.
Prediction: Ayr and Raith to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 44%.




Ayr have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ayr's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Raith's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Raith have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Raith have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.