The model estimates 2.48 goals for Helmond and 1.73 for Jong Utrecht. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Helmond and 6 for Jong Utrecht, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Helmond · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Helmond is going head to head with Jong Utrecht on December 04, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 18.
Helmond take on Jong Utrecht in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 4 December 2026 at 22:00.
Helmond are currently placed 19th in the table with 9 points, while Jong Utrecht occupy 20th position with 7 points.
Helmond come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong Utrecht have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Helmond to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.21. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 76%.




Helmond have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Helmond's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Jong Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.