The model estimates 1.29 goals for Valencia and 1.17 for Alaves. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Valencia and 6 for Alaves, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Valencia · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Valencia is going head to head with Alaves on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 24.
Valencia take on Alaves in the LaLiga on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Valencia are currently placed 19th in the table with 6 points, while Alaves occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Valencia come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alaves have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Valencia have 2 wins against Alaves, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Valencia to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.46. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




Valencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Valencia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Valencia have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.