The model estimates 2.72 goals for AEK Larnaca and 0.50 for Karmiotissa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEK Larnaca and 6 for Karmiotissa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Larnaca · 72%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEK Larnaca is going head to head with Karmiotissa on November 07, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 9.
AEK Larnaca take on Karmiotissa in the Cypriot First Division on 7 November 2026 at 20:00.
AEK Larnaca are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Karmiotissa occupy 14th position with 3 points.
AEK Larnaca come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Karmiotissa have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, AEK Larnaca have 13 wins against Karmiotissa, with 1 draw.
Prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 72%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.22. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.
Karmiotissa have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Karmiotissa's last 6 matches.
Karmiotissa concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.