The model estimates 2.19 goals for AEK Larnaca and 0.72 for AEL Limassol. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEK Larnaca and 6 for AEL Limassol, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Larnaca · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEK Larnaca is going head to head with AEL Limassol on December 01, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 12.
AEK Larnaca take on AEL Limassol in the Cypriot First Division on 1 December 2026 at 20:00.
AEK Larnaca are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while AEL Limassol occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
AEK Larnaca come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AEL Limassol have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 66 recorded meetings, AEK Larnaca have 23 wins against AEL Limassol, with 22 draws.
Prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.92. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEL Limassol have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AEL Limassol have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AEL Limassol's last 6 matches.