The model estimates 1.85 goals for AEK Larnaca and 1.13 for Apollon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEK Larnaca and 6 for Apollon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Larnaca · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEK Larnaca is going head to head with Apollon on November 28, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 11.
AEK Larnaca take on Apollon in the Cypriot First Division on 28 November 2026 at 20:00.
AEK Larnaca are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Apollon occupy 2nd position with 15 points.
AEK Larnaca come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Apollon have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.98. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.
Apollon are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Apollon have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Apollon's last 6 matches.