The model estimates 0.58 goals for Karmiotissa and 2.44 for AEK Larnaca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Karmiotissa and 6 for AEK Larnaca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Larnaca · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Karmiotissa is going head to head with AEK Larnaca on February 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 22.
Karmiotissa take on AEK Larnaca in the Cypriot First Division on 6 February 2027 at 00:00.
Karmiotissa are currently placed 14th in the table with 3 points, while AEK Larnaca occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Karmiotissa come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AEK Larnaca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, AEK Larnaca have 13 wins against Karmiotissa, with 1 draw.
Prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 41%.




Karmiotissa have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Karmiotissa's last 6 matches.
Karmiotissa concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.