The model estimates 1.10 goals for APOEL and 1.46 for AEK Larnaca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for APOEL and 6 for AEK Larnaca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Larnaca · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
APOEL is going head to head with AEK Larnaca on December 12, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 14.
APOEL take on AEK Larnaca in the Cypriot First Division on 12 December 2026 at 20:00.
APOEL are currently placed 7th in the table with 11 points, while AEK Larnaca occupy 1st position with 16 points.
APOEL come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AEK Larnaca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 86 recorded meetings, APOEL have 39 wins against AEK Larnaca, with 21 draws.
Prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.56. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, APOEL have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of APOEL's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of APOEL's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.