The model estimates 1.47 goals for Lugo and 0.62 for Ponferradina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lugo and 6 for Ponferradina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugo · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lugo is going head to head with Ponferradina on March 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 30.
Lugo take on Ponferradina in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 28 March 2027 at 00:00.
Lugo are currently placed 1st in the table with 22 points, while Ponferradina occupy 19th position with 13 points.
Lugo come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponferradina have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Lugo have yet to beat Ponferradina, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Lugo to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.10. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 37%.
LUGPONLUGPONLUGPONLUGPONLUGPONLUGPONLUGPONLUGPONLUGPONIn their last 6 matches, Lugo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugo's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Ponferradina's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ponferradina have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Ponferradina have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
