The model estimates 2.29 goals for AD Merida and 1.53 for Real Avilés. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Merida and 6 for Real Avilés, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AD Merida · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Merida is going head to head with Real Avilés on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 31.
AD Merida take on Real Avilés in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
AD Merida are currently placed 17th in the table with 13 points, while Real Avilés occupy 26th position with 11 points.
AD Merida come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Avilés have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, AD Merida have 2 wins against Real Avilés.
Prediction: AD Merida to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.82. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 71%.




In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Avilés have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Real Avilés have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Real Avilés's last 6 matches.