The model estimates 1.92 goals for Aarau and 1.81 for Wil. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aarau and 6 for Wil, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aarau · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aarau is going head to head with Wil on November 07, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Switzerland Challenge League — Round 13.
Aarau take on Wil in the Switzerland Challenge League on 7 November 2026 at 19:00.
Aarau are currently placed 6th in the table with 12 points, while Wil occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Aarau come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Wil have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Aarau have 1 win against Wil, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Aarau to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.73. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 72%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Aarau's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Aarau's last 6 matches.
Aarau have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Wil have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Wil have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Wil's last 6 matches.