The model estimates 1.24 goals for Aarau and 2.20 for Yverdon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aarau and 6 for Yverdon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Yverdon · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aarau is going head to head with Yverdon on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Switzerland Challenge League — Round 16.
Aarau take on Yverdon in the Switzerland Challenge League on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Aarau are currently placed 6th in the table with 12 points, while Yverdon occupy 2nd position with 22 points.
Aarau come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Yverdon have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Yverdon have 1 win against Aarau.
Prediction: Yverdon to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.44. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 64%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Aarau's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Aarau's last 6 matches.
Aarau have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Yverdon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Yverdon have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Yverdon have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.