The model estimates 1.68 goals for Wil and 1.46 for Étoile Carouge. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Wil and 6 for Étoile Carouge, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Wil · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Wil is going head to head with Étoile Carouge on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Switzerland Challenge League — Round 16.
Wil take on Étoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Wil are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Étoile Carouge occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Wil come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Étoile Carouge have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Wil have yet to beat Étoile Carouge, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Wil to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.14. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 64%.




In their last 6 matches, Wil have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Wil have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Wil's last 6 matches.
Étoile Carouge have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Étoile Carouge have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Étoile Carouge have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.