The model estimates 0.78 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.38 for Lech Poznan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Wisla Plock and 6 for Lech Poznan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Wisla Plock is going head to head with Lech Poznan on August 16, 2026 at 18:15. Played at Orlen Stadion Płock. This match is part of Ekstraklasa — Round 4.
Wisla Plock take on Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa at Orlen Stadion Płock on 16 August 2026 at 18:15.
Wisla Plock are currently placed 11th in the table with 4 points, while Lech Poznan occupy 2nd position with 7 points.
Wisla Plock come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lech Poznan have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Lech Poznan have 16 wins against Wisla Plock, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Lech Poznan to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 42%.




Wisla Plock have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Wisla Plock's last 6 matches.
Wisla Plock concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Lech Poznan are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lech Poznan have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lech Poznan's last 6 matches.