The model estimates 1.61 goals for GKS Katowice and 2.06 for Lech Poznan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for GKS Katowice and 6 for Lech Poznan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lech Poznan · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
GKS Katowice is going head to head with Lech Poznan on November 21, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Ekstraklasa — Round 15.
GKS Katowice take on Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa on 21 November 2026 at 20:00.
GKS Katowice are currently placed 8th in the table with 18 points, while Lech Poznan occupy 1st position with 31 points.
GKS Katowice come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lech Poznan have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Lech Poznan have 13 wins against GKS Katowice, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Lech Poznan to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 71%.
GKSLECGKSLECGKSLECGKSLECGKSLECGKSLECGKSLECGKSLECGKSLECThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of GKS Katowice's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of GKS Katowice's last 6 matches.
GKS Katowice score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Lech Poznan's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Lech Poznan's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lech Poznan have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
