The model estimates 2.10 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 1.16 for Adelaide United. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Wellington Phoenix and 6 for Adelaide United, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Wellington Phoenix · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Wellington Phoenix is going head to head with Adelaide United on November 29, 2026 at 05:00. This match is part of A-League Men.
Wellington Phoenix take on Adelaide United in the A-League Men on 29 November 2026 at 05:00.
Wellington Phoenix are currently placed 1st in the table with 6 points, while Adelaide United occupy 11th position with 0 points.
Wellington Phoenix come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Adelaide United have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Wellington Phoenix to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.26. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 61%.




In their last 6 matches, Wellington Phoenix have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Wellington Phoenix's last 6 matches.
Wellington Phoenix have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Adelaide United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Adelaide United have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Adelaide United have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.