The model estimates 1.12 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.39 for Fluminense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitoria Guimaraes and 6 for Fluminense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fluminense · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitoria Guimaraes is going head to head with Fluminense on November 04, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Serie A Betano — Round 34.
Vitoria Guimaraes take on Fluminense in the Serie A Betano on 4 November 2026 at 21:00.
Vitoria Guimaraes are currently placed 14th in the table with 15 points, while Fluminense occupy 6th position with 23 points.
Vitoria Guimaraes come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 44 recorded meetings, Fluminense have 17 wins against Vitoria Guimaraes, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Fluminense to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.51. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.




Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Vitoria Guimaraes have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fluminense's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Fluminense's last 6 matches.
Fluminense score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.