The model estimates 1.19 goals for Malaga and 1.23 for Valencia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malaga and 6 for Valencia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Malaga · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malaga is going head to head with Valencia on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 32.
Malaga take on Valencia in the LaLiga on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Malaga are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Valencia occupy 19th position with 6 points.
Malaga come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Valencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Malaga to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
Valencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Valencia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Valencia's last 6 away matches.