The model estimates 1.17 goals for Villarreal and 0.92 for Celta Vigo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Villarreal and 6 for Celta Vigo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Villarreal · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Villarreal is going head to head with Celta Vigo on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 35.
Villarreal take on Celta Vigo in the LaLiga on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Villarreal are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while Celta Vigo occupy 9th position with 12 points.
Villarreal come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Celta Vigo have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 43 recorded meetings, Villarreal have 17 wins against Celta Vigo, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Villarreal to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 43%.




In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Celta Vigo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Celta Vigo's last 6 matches.
Celta Vigo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.