The model estimates 0.77 goals for Malaga and 1.25 for Celta Vigo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malaga and 6 for Celta Vigo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Celta Vigo · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malaga is going head to head with Celta Vigo on May 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 36.
Malaga take on Celta Vigo in the LaLiga on 16 May 2027 at 00:00.
Malaga are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Celta Vigo occupy 9th position with 12 points.
Malaga come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Celta Vigo have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Malaga have yet to beat Celta Vigo, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Celta Vigo to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 40%.




Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Celta Vigo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Celta Vigo's last 6 matches.
Celta Vigo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.