The model estimates 1.71 goals for Varzim and 1.82 for Leca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Varzim and 6 for Leca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Varzim · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Varzim is going head to head with Leca on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 17.
Varzim take on Leca in the Liga 3 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Varzim are currently placed 10th in the table with 9 points, while Leca occupy 6th position with 10 points.
Varzim come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leca have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Leca to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.53. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 70%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Varzim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Leca's last 6 away matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Leca's last 6 away matches.
Leca score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.