The model estimates 1.87 goals for AD Fafe and 1.05 for Varzim. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Fafe and 6 for Varzim, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AD Fafe · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Fafe is going head to head with Varzim on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 18.
AD Fafe take on Varzim in the Liga 3 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
AD Fafe are currently placed 5th in the table with 10 points, while Varzim occupy 10th position with 9 points.
AD Fafe come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Varzim have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AD Fafe to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.91. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 56%.




In their last 6 matches, AD Fafe have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AD Fafe have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
AD Fafe score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Varzim's last 6 matches.
Varzim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.