The model estimates 1.77 goals for Utrecht and 2.42 for Groningen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Utrecht and 6 for Groningen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Groningen · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Utrecht is going head to head with Groningen on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 26.
Utrecht take on Groningen in the Eredivisie on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Utrecht are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Groningen occupy 8th position with 15 points.
Utrecht come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Groningen have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 107 recorded meetings, Utrecht have 46 wins against Groningen, with 28 draws.
Prediction: Groningen to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.19. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 76%.




Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Utrecht's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Groningen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.