The model estimates 1.39 goals for USV Hercules and 1.82 for Purmersteijn. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for USV Hercules and 6 for Purmersteijn, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Purmersteijn · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
USV Hercules is going head to head with Purmersteijn on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 31.
USV Hercules take on Purmersteijn in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
USV Hercules are currently placed 22nd in the table with 13 points, while Purmersteijn occupy 14th position with 18 points.
USV Hercules come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Purmersteijn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Purmersteijn to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 64%.




In their last 6 matches, USV Hercules have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
USV Hercules have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
USV Hercules score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Purmersteijn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.