The model estimates 1.52 goals for Staphorst and 2.27 for Purmersteijn. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Staphorst and 6 for Purmersteijn, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Purmersteijn · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Staphorst is going head to head with Purmersteijn on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 33.
Staphorst take on Purmersteijn in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
Staphorst are currently placed 29th in the table with 9 points, while Purmersteijn occupy 14th position with 18 points.
Staphorst come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Purmersteijn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Purmersteijn to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.79. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 71%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Purmersteijn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.