The model estimates 1.39 goals for US Arezzo and 1.44 for Empoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for US Arezzo and 6 for Empoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: US Arezzo · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
US Arezzo is going head to head with Empoli on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 22.
US Arezzo take on Empoli in the Serie B on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
US Arezzo are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Empoli occupy 18th position with 8 points.
US Arezzo come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Empoli have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, US Arezzo have 1 win against Empoli, with 2 draws.
Prediction: US Arezzo to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 59%.




US Arezzo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of US Arezzo's last 6 matches.
US Arezzo concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Empoli have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Empoli have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Empoli's last 6 matches.