The model estimates 1.34 goals for UD Ourense and 1.47 for Real Avilés. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Ourense and 6 for Real Avilés, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Avilés · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Ourense is going head to head with Real Avilés on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 28.
UD Ourense take on Real Avilés in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
UD Ourense are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while Real Avilés occupy 26th position with 11 points.
UD Ourense come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Avilés have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Real Avilés have 1 win against UD Ourense.
Prediction: UD Ourense to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.82. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.




UD Ourense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Ourense's last 6 matches.
UD Ourense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Avilés have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Real Avilés have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Real Avilés's last 6 matches.