The model estimates 1.83 goals for UD Logrones and 1.42 for Lugo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Logrones and 6 for Lugo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UD Logrones · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Logrones is going head to head with Lugo on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 22.
UD Logrones take on Lugo in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
UD Logrones are currently placed 3rd in the table with 20 points, while Lugo occupy 1st position with 22 points.
UD Logrones come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Lugo have 1 win against UD Logrones.
Prediction: UD Logrones to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.26. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 65%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of UD Logrones's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, UD Logrones have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Logrones's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lugo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugo's last 6 matches.