The model estimates 1.31 goals for UD Aretxabaleta and 1.38 for San Ignacio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for UD Aretxabaleta and 6 for San Ignacio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: San Ignacio · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
UD Aretxabaleta is going head to head with San Ignacio on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 16.
UD Aretxabaleta take on San Ignacio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
UD Aretxabaleta are currently placed 7th in the table with 17 points, while San Ignacio occupy 10th position with 14 points.
UD Aretxabaleta come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas San Ignacio have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, UD Aretxabaleta have 2 wins against San Ignacio, with 1 draw.
Prediction: San Ignacio to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 56%.


In their last 6 matches, UD Aretxabaleta have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
UD Aretxabaleta have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Aretxabaleta's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, San Ignacio have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
San Ignacio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of San Ignacio's last 6 matches.