The model estimates 1.71 goals for Tropezon and 0.54 for Castro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tropezon and 6 for Castro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tropezon · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tropezon is going head to head with Castro on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 22.
Tropezon take on Castro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Tropezon are currently placed 1st in the table with 20 points, while Castro occupy 10th position with 8 points.
Tropezon come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Tropezon have 14 wins against Castro, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Tropezon to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 36%.
Tropezon are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tropezon have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Tropezon have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Castro have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro's last 6 matches.