The model estimates 1.64 goals for Toulouse and 1.69 for Lens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Toulouse and 6 for Lens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Toulouse · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Toulouse is going head to head with Lens on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 18.
Toulouse take on Lens in the Ligue 1 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Toulouse are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Lens occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Toulouse come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 87 recorded meetings, Lens have 34 wins against Toulouse, with 24 draws.
Prediction: Toulouse to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.33. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 67%.




In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.
Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.