The model estimates 1.53 goals for Olympique Marseille and 1.18 for Lorient. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Olympique Marseille and 6 for Lorient, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Olympique Marseille · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Olympique Marseille is going head to head with Lorient on May 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 34.
Olympique Marseille take on Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 29 May 2027 at 00:00.
Olympique Marseille are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Lorient occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Olympique Marseille come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorient have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, Olympique Marseille have 19 wins against Lorient, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Olympique Marseille to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Olympique Marseille score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.