The model estimates 1.38 goals for Torquay and 1.56 for Chelmsford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Torquay and 6 for Chelmsford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chelmsford · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Torquay is going head to head with Chelmsford on November 28, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 19.
Torquay take on Chelmsford in the England National League South on 28 November 2026 at 15:00.
Torquay are currently placed 15th in the table with 17 points, while Chelmsford occupy 13th position with 18 points.
Torquay come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chelmsford have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Torquay have 3 wins against Chelmsford, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Chelmsford to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 61%.
TORCHETORCHETORCHETORCHETORCHETORCHETORCHETORCHETORCHETorquay have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Torquay concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Torquay have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Chelmsford have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Chelmsford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Chelmsford's last 6 matches.
