The model estimates 1.25 goals for Torquay and 1.64 for Tonbridge. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Torquay and 6 for Tonbridge, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tonbridge · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Torquay is going head to head with Tonbridge on December 19, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 22.
Torquay take on Tonbridge in the England National League South on 19 December 2026 at 15:00.
Torquay are currently placed 15th in the table with 17 points, while Tonbridge occupy 6th position with 24 points.
Torquay come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tonbridge have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Torquay have 4 wins against Tonbridge, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Tonbridge to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.




Torquay have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Torquay concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Torquay have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Tonbridge have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tonbridge's last 6 matches.
Tonbridge have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.