The model estimates 0.90 goals for Dag & Red and 1.19 for Tonbridge. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dag & Red and 6 for Tonbridge, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tonbridge · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dag & Red is going head to head with Tonbridge on November 24, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League South — Round 18.
Dag & Red take on Tonbridge in the England National League South on 24 November 2026 at 19:45.
Dag & Red are currently placed 5th in the table with 23 points, while Tonbridge occupy 7th position with 21 points.
Dag & Red come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tonbridge have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Dag & Red have yet to beat Tonbridge, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Tonbridge to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.10. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 43%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Dag & Red's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dag & Red have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Dag & Red have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tonbridge have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tonbridge have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tonbridge's last 6 matches.