The model estimates 0.98 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.31 for Sagamihara. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tochigi SC and 6 for Sagamihara, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sagamihara · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tochigi SC is going head to head with Sagamihara on November 29, 2026 at 08:00. This match is part of J3 League — Round 20.
Tochigi SC take on Sagamihara in the J3 League on 29 November 2026 at 08:00.
Tochigi SC are currently placed 16th in the table with 14 points, while Sagamihara occupy 8th position with 22 points.
Tochigi SC come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sagamihara have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Sagamihara have 5 wins against Tochigi SC, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Sagamihara to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.29. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 47%.




Tochigi SC have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Tochigi SC's last 6 matches.
Tochigi SC have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sagamihara have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Sagamihara have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Sagamihara score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.