The model estimates 2.00 goals for Sagamihara and 0.85 for Kusatsu. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sagamihara and 6 for Kusatsu, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sagamihara · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sagamihara is going head to head with Kusatsu on December 05, 2026 at 08:00. This match is part of J3 League — Round 21.
Sagamihara take on Kusatsu in the J3 League on 5 December 2026 at 08:00.
Sagamihara are currently placed 8th in the table with 22 points, while Kusatsu occupy 18th position with 13 points.
Sagamihara come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kusatsu have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Kusatsu have 5 wins against Sagamihara, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Sagamihara to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 51%.


In their last 6 matches, Sagamihara have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Sagamihara have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Sagamihara score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Kusatsu have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Kusatsu's last 6 matches.
Kusatsu have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.