The model estimates 1.76 goals for Thun and 2.46 for Servette. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Thun and 6 for Servette, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Thun is going head to head with Servette on August 23, 2026 at 15:00. Played at Stockhorn Arena Thun. This match is part of Swiss Super League — Round 4.
Thun take on Servette in the Swiss Super League at Stockhorn Arena Thun on 23 August 2026 at 15:00.
Thun are currently placed 9th in the table with 3 points, while Servette occupy 8th position with 3 points.
Thun come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Servette have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Servette to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.22. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 77%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Thun's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Thun have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Thun have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Servette's last 6 matches.
Servette score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Servette's last 6 away matches.