The model estimates 0.91 goals for Le Havre and 1.45 for Lille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Le Havre and 6 for Lille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lille · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Le Havre is going head to head with Lille on May 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 33.
Le Havre take on Lille in the Ligue 1 on 22 May 2027 at 00:00.
Le Havre are currently placed 18th in the table with 2 points, while Lille occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Le Havre come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lille have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, Lille have 21 wins against Le Havre, with 14 draws.
Prediction: Lille to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 47%.




Le Havre have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Le Havre have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Le Havre's last 6 matches.
Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.