The model estimates 1.08 goals for Stoke City and 1.84 for Southampton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Stoke City and 6 for Southampton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southampton · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Stoke City is going head to head with Southampton on March 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 35.
Stoke City take on Southampton in the Championship on 3 March 2027 at 00:00.
Stoke City are currently placed 9th in the table with 20 points, while Southampton occupy 2nd position with 24 points.
Stoke City come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southampton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Southampton have 25 wins against Stoke City, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Southampton to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.92. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 57%.
STOSOUSTOSOUSTOSOUSTOSOUSTOSOUSTOSOUSTOSOUSTOSOUSTOSOUIn their last 6 matches, Stoke City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Stoke City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Stoke City's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southampton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Southampton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
