The model estimates 1.60 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.59 for Southampton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Middlesbrough and 6 for Southampton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Middlesbrough is going head to head with Southampton on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 37.
Middlesbrough take on Southampton in the Championship on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Middlesbrough are currently placed 1st in the table with 25 points, while Southampton occupy 2nd position with 24 points.
Middlesbrough come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southampton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 40 recorded meetings, Southampton have 16 wins against Middlesbrough, with 13 draws.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.19. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 65%.




Middlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southampton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Southampton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.