The model estimates 1.66 goals for St Pauli and 1.05 for Heidenheim. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for St Pauli and 6 for Heidenheim, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: St Pauli · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
St Pauli is going head to head with Heidenheim on December 05, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of 2. Bundesliga — Round 14.
St Pauli take on Heidenheim in the 2. Bundesliga on 5 December 2026 at 15:30.
St Pauli are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Heidenheim occupy 6th position with 15 points.
St Pauli come into this match with 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heidenheim have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, St Pauli have 10 wins against Heidenheim, with 3 draws.
Prediction: St Pauli to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 54%.




St Pauli are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, St Pauli have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of St Pauli's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heidenheim have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Heidenheim have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Heidenheim's last 6 matches.