The model estimates 1.84 goals for Benfica and 0.98 for Arouca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Benfica and 6 for Arouca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Benfica · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Benfica is going head to head with Arouca on May 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 34.
Benfica take on Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 16 May 2027 at 00:00.
Benfica are currently placed 2nd in the table with 22 points, while Arouca occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Benfica come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arouca have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Benfica to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.82. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Benfica have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Benfica have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Benfica's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.