The model estimates 1.50 goals for Southport and 1.56 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Southport and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southport · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Southport is going head to head with Chorley on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 25.
Southport take on Chorley in the England National League North on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Southport are currently placed 23rd in the table with 10 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Southport come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, Southport have 6 wins against Chorley, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Southport to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 63%.




Southport have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Southport's last 6 matches.
Southport have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.