The model estimates 2.11 goals for Southend and 1.72 for Carlisle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Southend and 6 for Carlisle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southend · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Southend is going head to head with Carlisle on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 40.
Southend take on Carlisle in the England National League on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Southend are currently placed 3rd in the table with 29 points, while Carlisle occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Southend come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carlisle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Carlisle have 12 wins against Southend, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Southend to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.84. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 73%.
SOUCARSOUCARSOUCARSOUCARSOUCARSOUCARSOUCARSOUCARSOUCARBoth teams have scored in 6 of Southend's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southend have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Southend's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.
