The model estimates 1.25 goals for Sochi and 0.89 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sochi and 6 for Shinnik Yaroslavl, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sochi · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sochi is going head to head with Shinnik Yaroslavl on November 25, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Russia 1 Division — Round 19.
Sochi take on Shinnik Yaroslavl in the Russia 1 Division on 25 November 2026 at 19:00.
Sochi are currently placed 2nd in the table with 32 points, while Shinnik Yaroslavl occupy 7th position with 23 points.
Sochi come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Shinnik Yaroslavl have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Sochi have 1 win against Shinnik Yaroslavl, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Sochi to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.14. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, Sochi have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Sochi have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sochi's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Shinnik Yaroslavl have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 6 matches.
Shinnik Yaroslavl have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.