The model estimates 1.31 goals for Sobec Lesce and 1.16 for Tolmin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sobec Lesce and 6 for Tolmin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sobec Lesce · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sobec Lesce is going head to head with Tolmin on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of 3 SNL West — Round 23.
Sobec Lesce take on Tolmin in the 3 SNL West on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Sobec Lesce are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Tolmin occupy 9th position with 12 points.
Sobec Lesce come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tolmin have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Tolmin have 7 wins against Sobec Lesce, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Sobec Lesce to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.47. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




Sobec Lesce have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Sobec Lesce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sobec Lesce's last 6 matches.
Tolmin have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Tolmin have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tolmin's last 6 matches.