The model estimates 2.57 goals for NK Adria and 1.39 for Tolmin. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for NK Adria and 6 for Tolmin, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: NK Adria · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
NK Adria is going head to head with Tolmin on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of 3 SNL West — Round 25.
NK Adria take on Tolmin in the 3 SNL West on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
NK Adria are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Tolmin occupy 9th position with 12 points.
NK Adria come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tolmin have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 31 recorded meetings, Tolmin have 18 wins against NK Adria, with 4 draws.
Prediction: NK Adria to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.97. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 70%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of NK Adria's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of NK Adria's last 6 matches.
NK Adria score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Tolmin have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Tolmin have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tolmin's last 6 matches.